BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


-----------------------------------------------


Davenport Assumption

Class: 3A Class Rank: 21 Conference: (3-13) Overall: (5-18) Overall Strength =   85.99

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 12/04/2015 Neutral L    98.96  62   71   3A    2 (21- 6) Dubuque Wahlert        12.96    -21.96                      
  2 12/05/2015 Neutral L    77.27  56   75   3A    7 (14- 9) Sioux City Heelan      -8.72    -10.28  @ Dowling Tr        
  3 12/11/2015 Home    L *  86.80  47   59   4A   20 (15- 7) Eldridge North Scott    0.80    -12.80                      
  4 12/15/2015 Away    L *  81.36  55   58   4A   44 ( 6-17) Davenport West          4.63      1.63                      
  5 12/18/2015 Home    L *  65.21  44   80   4A   13 (15- 7) Davenport Central     -20.78    -15.22                      
  6 12/19/2015 Away    L    85.99  58   63   ZZ   34 ( 1- 0) Geneseo IL              0.00     -5.00  IA-ILL Shootout     
  7 12/22/2015 Away    L    80.45  52   78   3A    3 (19- 8) Cedar Rapids Xavier     5.55    -20.45                      
  8 01/05/2016 Away    W *  83.45  47   40   4A   47 ( 0-22) Burlington              2.54      9.54                      
  9 01/08/2016 Away    L *  84.06  50   58   4A   34 ( 7-15) Davenport North         1.93     -6.07                      
 10 01/12/2016 Away    L *  93.98  39   47   4A   18 (14- 9) Bettendorf             -7.99    -15.99                      
 11 01/15/2016 Home    L *  89.42  57   59   4A   31 (12-11) Clinton                 3.43     -5.43                      
 12 01/19/2016 Home    W    87.76  56   52   ZZ   41 ( 1- 2) Rock Island Alleman     1.76      2.24  was 01/18 now 01/19 
 13 01/22/2016 Away    L *  81.81  43   64   4A   15 (15- 8) Muscatine               4.19    -16.81  was 01/21 now 01/22 
 14 01/26/2016 Home    L *  82.76  34   60   4A    6 (24- 2) Pleasant Valley        -3.24    -22.76                      
 15 01/29/2016 Away    L *  89.51  45   57   4A   20 (15- 7) Eldridge North Scott   -3.52    -15.52                      
      Averages              85.99  52.3 60.0

Best game:  104.73 = 31 point win over Burlington
Worst game:  65.21 = 36 point loss to Davenport Central
Team stdev:   8.19